Kenya - Economic Diversification, Challenges and Opportunities

International Journal of Economics and Management Studies
© 2020 by SSRG - IJEMS Journal
Volume 7 Issue 4
Year of Publication : 2020
Authors : Prof. Tabitha kiriti-nganga
pdf
How to Cite?

Prof. Tabitha kiriti-nganga, "Kenya - Economic Diversification, Challenges and Opportunities," SSRG International Journal of Economics and Management Studies, vol. 7,  no. 4, pp. 170-178, 2020. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.14445/23939125/IJEMS-V7I4P121

Abstract:

International economic theory states that a country should specialize in the production of goods and services that it can produce at a lower relative opportunity cost and import those goods and services that it can produce at a higher relative opportunity cost. It will also produce and offer for export those goods that it can produce with its most abundant factor. This has led most low-income countries to specialize in commodity and primary products based on their resource endowments. These countries have also concentrated on trading with only a few partners and especially the former colonial masters, and this has subjected these countries to fluctuations in economic growth and volatility in commodity prices due to lack of diversification. Economic growth in Kenya is currently being driven by traditional sectors such as agriculture and services, and it still relies on a few export products for export and a few export destinations. Gender inequality is also high, and Kenya’s human resource development index is also very low compared to other countries in Africa and other developing countries. Labor force participation is also skewed against women, and industries are located in only a few major towns exacerbating the levels of inequality and, in effect leading to low levels of economic diversification. It is therefore imperative that Kenya diversify its economy in order to increase the sources of income and growth. This paper uses desk research to investigate Kenya’s experience in economic diversification, factors that derail or facilitate its endeavor to diversify its economy, and the opportunities that are available for Kenya to take advantage of in order to diversify its economy

Keywords:

Economic diversification, export diversification, production diversification, vertical diversification, horizontal diversification.

References:

[1] Aghion, P., Griffith, R. and Howitt, P., Vertical Integration and Competition", American Economic Review, 96(2) (2006) 97-10.
[2] Amondi, T., Kenya’s Trade Diversification Policy with the East African Community and its Impact on Economic Growth, Research Project Submitted to the School of Economics of the University of Nairobi, in partial fulfillment of the Requirements for the Award of the Degree in Master of Arts in Economics, (2015).
[3] Bal-Gunduz, Y., Dabla, E. and Intal, C.. What Drives Economic Diversification? International Monetary Fund Working Paper, (2015).
[4] Dennis, A. and Shepherd, B., Trade Costs, Barriers to Entry and Export Diversification in Developing Countries, https://www.etsg.org/ETSG2007/papers/shepherd.pdf (2007)
[5] Gitu, K. Agricultural Development and Food Security in Sub-Saharan Africa; Building a Case of Kenya, Rome, (2006).
[6] Herzer, D. and Nowak- Lehmann, F., What does export diversification do for growth? An econometric analysis, Applied Economics,  38(15) (2006) 1825-1838. 
[7] International Monetary Fund, Economic Diversification in LICs: Stylized Facts and Macroeconomic Implications, IMF Staff Discussion Notes, International Monetary Fund, (2013).
[8] International Monetary Fund, Sustaining Long-run Growth and Macroeconomic Stability in Low-income Countries: The Role of Structural Transformation and Diversification, IMF Policy Paper, (2014).
[9] Kazandjian, R. Kolovich, L. Kochhar, K. and Newiak, M. Gender Equality and Economic Diversification”, IMF Working Paper, No. WP/16/140, International Monetary Fund, African Department, Human Resource Department, and Strategy, Policy, and Review Department, (2016).
[10] Kenya Association of Manufacturers and Kenya Business Guide, Manufacturing in Kenya Under the Big Four Agenda, Sector Deep-dive Report, Kenya Association of Manufacturers, Nairobi Kenya, (2018).
[11] Kenya Institute for Public Policy Research and Analysis (KIPPRA), Kenya Economic
[12] Report 2017: Sustaining Kenya’s Economic Development by Deepening and Expanding Economic Integration in the Region, Kenya Institute for Public Policy Research and Analysis, Nairobi: http://www.kippra.org, (2017).
[13] Kenya National Bureau of Statistics, Economic Survey, https://www.knbs.or.ke › Downloads, (2014).
[14] Navarro-Garcia, A. Drivers of export entrepreneurship, International Business Review, 25(1) (2016) 244-254. 
[15] Nourse H. O.. Regional Economics: A Study in the Economic Structure, Stability, and Growth of Regions. McGraw-Hill, (1968).
[16] Osakwe, P. N., Santos-Paulino, A. U. and Dogan, B.  Trade dependence, liberalization, and exports diversification in developing countries, Journal of African Trade, 5(1-2)  (2018) 19 – 34.
[17] The Republic of Kenya., Sessional Paper No. 10 of 1965: African Socialism and its Application to Planning in Kenya, Nairobi: Government Press (1965).
[18] The Republic of Kenya, Sessional Paper No.1 of 1986 on Economic Management for Renewed Growth, https://openlibrary.org/books/OL2371633M/Sessional_paper_no._1_of_1986_on_economic_management_for_renewed_growth 1986
[19] The Republic of Kenya, Kenya’s Vision 2030: A Globally Competitive and Prosperous Kenya, Nairobi: Government Press, (2007).
[20] The Republic of Kenya, Kenya Demographic and Health Survey, Kenya National Bureau of Statistics, Nairobi: Kenya, Available at www.vision2030.go.ke, (2014).
[21] Republic of Kenya, Economic Survey 2019, Kenya National Bureau of Statistics, Nairobi Kenya, http://www.knbs.or.ke, (2019).
[22] Samen, S. A Primer on Export Diversification: Key Concepts, Theoretical Underpinnings, and Empirical Evidence, Growth and Crisis Unit, World Bank, Washington DC (2010).  
[23] Songwe, V. A continental strategy for economic diversification through the AfCFTA and intellectual property rights https://www.brookings.edu/research/a-continental-strategy-for-economic-diversification-through-the-afcfta-and-intellectual-property-rights/ (2020).
[24] United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), Export Diversification and Employment, United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, United Nations, Geneva, (2018).
[25] United Nations Development Program (UNDP), Export Dependence and Export Concentration in Towards Human Resilience: Sustaining MDG Progress in an Age of Economic Uncertainty, https://www.undp.org/content/undp/en/home/librarypage/poverty-reduction/inclusive_development/towards_human_resiliencesustainingmdgprogressinanageofeconomicun.html, (2011).
[26] United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC), Economic Diversification, FOCUS, ECLAC Sub-regional Headquarters for the Caribbean, PO Box 1113, Port of Spain, Trinidad and Tobago , Tel: (868) 224-8000 , E-mail: spou-pos@eclac.org Website: www.eclac.org/portofspain, (2017).
[27] United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), The concept of economic diversification in the context of response measures: Technical Paper, United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, Bonn, Germany, (2016).
[28] World Bank, Inclusive Green Growth: The Pathway to Sustainable Development. Washington, DC: World Bank, (2012).
[29] World Economic Forum, Global Competitiveness Report 2017-2018, World Economic Forum, Geneva, Switzerland, (2017).